The euro and USD trade at parity for
the first time since July 2002. The recent
euro devaluation is a direct result of
instability created by the Russian invasion
of the Ukraine. The euro has declined
16% versus last year and historic levels
ranging from 1.13-1.20. Other benchmark
currencies such as the UK pound and
Japanese yen trade at multi-year lows.
This signals some pain for USA
multinationals such as P&G, Mondelez,
and Kraft Heinz, with sizable European
businesses. On the other hand, European
exporters may discover a unique window
of opportunity to develop their USA
business due to a more competitive
pricing framework.
USA: Retail Business Remains Strong
There is a permanent shift to food
consumed at home in the USA. Most food
brands are tracking 5-10% ahead of last
year through a combination of steady
volume and price increases. Home-based
workers now purchase food from
supermarkets for breakfast and lunch.
Dinners feature more inspired meals, as
people do not suffer through the evening
commute. Restaurant prices have
skyrocketed, especially in the fine dining
segment, making eating out a special
occasion event versus a regular habit. As
a result, USA consumers are searching for
new options and open to spending a little
more for innovative brands from Europe,
Asia, and the Americas.
415 USA Retailers
Export Solutions’ retailer database tracks
415 USA customers, segmented by state
and by channel. There are plenty of
small- to mid-size chains willing to
try an international brand to offer a
differentiated assortment versus national
players such as Walmart and Kroger.
International brands should offer a
compelling story, category innovation,
and a commitment to brand support.
A difference versus Europe is that the
average USA store sizes exceeds 40,000
square feet (4,000 sq. meters) with plenty
of space. Hard discount is not a factor,
with Aldi, Lidl and others accounting
for 2% market share. Private label market
share is only 18.8% according to Nielsen.
A proven strategy is to build a presence
at high-profile premium retailers before
gradually expanding to mass operators.
Three-Tier Model
Most overseas brands partner with
one of the 614 "importer"distributors in
our USA distributor database. In the USA
“distributors” usually refers to wholesale
distributors such as UNFI or Kehe.
International brands must consider
three margins in their value chain:
importer distributor, wholesale
distributor and retailer. However,
with a lower cost basis due to currency
and elimination of Trump-era tariffs,
many European producers are more
competitive today than at any time
in their recent history.
Saudi Arabia, UAE, Panama, HK, & Ecuador
Many countries peg their currency to the
USA dollar. This includes the Gulf nations
and the Caribbean islands. Panama is an
attractive growth market, a hub for Latin
America. Ecuador features a population
of 18 million and the USA dollar is legal
tender. Hong Kong features high
acceptance of international brands. All
of these countries are worthy of renewed
consideration due to the current euro
exchange rate.
USA Brands: More Marketing
Made in the USA brands will experience
higher price points in Europe. However,
a strong dollar also translates to more
marketing muscle for overseas investments
due to the elevated purchasing power of
the dollar. Next year may be the time to
stretch your investments in social media,
sampling, and promotion to build long-
term brand equity.
Revisit your Price Calculation
Successful distributors are brand builders
versus currency traders. Value-chain
calculations should be examined to
ensure that all partners maintain a fair
mix of profit and investment, without
currency fluctuation shifts falling to
the bottom line. Online price checks of
retailer web shops allows you to instantly
check the current assortment and pricing
of most leading USA retailers including
Walmart, Kroger, and Costco.
Retail Safari
One option to accelerate your North
America growth strategy is to participate
in a Retail Safari program from Export
Solutions. This “hands on”, commercial
approach allows companies interested
in USA development to benefit from
an intensive look at the USA and your
category. Participants in this one-week
program visit three or four benchmark
cities like Atlanta, Metro New York,
Los Angeles, and Toronto. Atlanta is
critical as the commercial capital of the
populated south (38% of USA) as well
as an opportunity to check all national
retailers in one suburb to see the real
USA market: Walmart, Costco, Kroger,
Publix, Whole Foods, Trader Joe’s,
Target, Sam’s Club, Fresh Market, etc.
Metro NY (or Boston) allows you to
observe more regional chains, with lower
cost-of-entry requirements. The Retail
Safari includes daily briefings on core
topics such as USA broker models, trade
promotion strategies, and value chain
calculation. Contact Greg Seminara for
more information.
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Euro-USD Exchange Rate: Money Matters